Serie A · Aug 14, 2022 16:30
Lazio
PWR 36
Bologna
PWR 36
Lazio
PWR 36
2 - 1
FT
Bologna
PWR 36
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%)
1-0 (16%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Lazio Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Bologna Form
WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS34%
Under 2.555%
Lazio Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Bologna Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Laziovs
0.50
BolognaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Lazio+2
Gap#10
Bologna
WR 42% 32 pts
WR 33% 30 pts
Lazio
6.0%
| Jul 27 | Lazio v Genoa | 4-1 |
| May 21 | Lazio v Verona | 3-3 |
| Apr 24 | Lazio v AC Milan | 1-2 |
| Apr 10 | Lazio v Genoa | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Lazio v Napoli | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Lazio v Udinese | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Lazio v Bologna | 3-0 |
| Feb 09 | Lazio v AC Milan | 4-0 |
| Feb 05 | Lazio v Fiorent… | 0-3 |
| Jan 18 | Lazio v Udinese | 1-0 |
Bologna
12.0%
| May 21 | Bologna v Genoa | 0-1 |
| May 15 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 1-3 |
| Apr 27 | Bologna v Inter | 2-1 |
| Apr 24 | Bologna v Udinese | 2-2 |
| Apr 16 | Bologna v Juventus | 1-1 |
| Apr 04 | Bologna v AC Milan | 0-0 |
| Mar 20 | Bologna v Atalanta | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Bologna v Fiorent… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Bologna v Lazio | 3-0 |
| Jan 21 | Bologna v Verona | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 12, 2022 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Oct 03, 2021 | Bologna | 3-0 | Lazio |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Bologna | 2-0 | Lazio |
Key Factors
Lazio struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.