Serie A · Nov 03, 2023 19:45

Bologna
PWR 36

Lazio
PWR 36

Bologna
PWR 36
1 - 0
FT

Lazio
PWR 36
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (14%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 8%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Bologna Form
WDDDD
STABLE
Lazio Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS36%
Under 2.565%
Bologna Goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Lazio Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Bolognavs
0.62
LazioDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bologna-2
Gap#8
Lazio
WR 33% 30 pts
WR 25% 33 pts
Bologna
12.0%
| Oct 31 | Bologna v Verona | 2-0 |
| Oct 28 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 1-1 |
| Oct 07 | Bologna v Inter | 2-2 |
| Sep 24 | Bologna v Napoli | 0-0 |
| Sep 18 | Bologna v Verona | 0-0 |
| Aug 27 | Bologna v Juventus | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Bologna v AC Milan | 0-2 |
| May 28 | Bologna v Napoli | 2-2 |
| May 08 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 1-1 |
| Apr 30 | Bologna v Juventus | 1-1 |
Lazio
8.0%
| Oct 30 | Lazio v Fiorent… | 1-0 |
| Sep 30 | Lazio v AC Milan | 2-0 |
| Sep 16 | Lazio v Juventus | 3-1 |
| Sep 02 | Lazio v Napoli | 1-2 |
| Aug 27 | Lazio v Genoa | 0-1 |
| Aug 20 | Lazio v Lecce | 2-1 |
| May 28 | Lazio v Cremone… | 3-2 |
| May 21 | Lazio v Udinese | 0-1 |
| May 12 | Lazio v Lecce | 2-2 |
| May 06 | Lazio v AC Milan | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bologna | 0-0 | Lazio |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Lazio | 1-0 | Bologna |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Lazio | 2-1 | Bologna |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Oct 03, 2021 | Bologna | 3-0 | Lazio |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Bologna | 2-0 | Lazio |
Key Factors
Lazio struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.