Serie A · Mar 16, 2025 14:00
Bologna
PWR 36
Lazio
PWR 36
Bologna
PWR 36
5 - 0
FT
Lazio
PWR 36
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bologna to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 6%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Bologna Form
WWWLW
UP
Lazio Form
DDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS50%
Under 2.549%
Bologna Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Lazio Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Bolognavs
0.90
LazioDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bologna-2
Gap#8
Lazio
WR 33% 30 pts
WR 27% 32 pts
Bologna
16.0%
| Mar 09 | Bologna v Verona | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Bologna v Cagliari | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Bologna v AC Milan | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Bologna v Parma | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Bologna v Torino | 3-2 |
| Feb 09 | Bologna v Lecce | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Bologna v Atalanta | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Bologna v Como | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Bologna v Empoli | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Bologna v Monza | 3-1 |
Lazio
12.0%
| Mar 13 | Lazio v Plzen | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Lazio v Udinese | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Lazio v Plzen | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Lazio v AC Milan | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Lazio v Inter | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Lazio v Venezia | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Lazio v Napoli | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Lazio v Monza | 5-1 |
| Feb 03 | Lazio v Cagliari | 1-2 |
| Jan 26 | Lazio v Fiorent… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 24, 2024 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Lazio | 1-2 | Bologna |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Lazio | 1-2 | Bologna |
| Nov 03, 2023 | Bologna | 1-0 | Lazio |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bologna | 0-0 | Lazio |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Lazio | 1-0 | Bologna |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Lazio | 2-1 | Bologna |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Oct 03, 2021 | Bologna | 3-0 | Lazio |
Key Factors
Bologna in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.