Predictions Match Details
A-League · Dec 29, 2025 08:00

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
5 - 1
FT

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Melbourne Victory to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 5-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Melbourne Vict… Form WWDLL
STABLE
Wellington Pho… Form WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS43%
Under 2.547%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Wellington … Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Melbourne Vict…
vs
0.64
Wellington Pho…
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Melbourne V…
+6
Gap
#11
Wellington …
WR 57% 23 pts WR 29% 19 pts
Melbourne Vict… 10.0%
Dec 20 Melbour… v Melbour… 0-1
Dec 13 Melbour… v Adelaid… 2-1
Dec 05 Melbour… v Macarth… 0-0
Nov 28 Melbour… v Brisban… 1-0
Nov 22 Melbour… v Sydney 3-0
Nov 08 Melbour… v Melbour… 0-2
Oct 31 Melbour… v Perth G… 0-2
Oct 24 Melbour… v Newcast… 5-2
Oct 18 Melbour… v Auckland 0-0
Sep 24 Melbour… v Perth G… 3-0
Wellington Pho… 8.0%
Dec 21 Welling… v Central… 3-1
Dec 14 Welling… v Newcast… 1-3
Dec 06 Welling… v Auckland 3-1
Nov 29 Welling… v Adelaid… 2-1
Nov 22 Welling… v Macarth… 0-1
Nov 08 Welling… v Auckland 1-2
Nov 02 Welling… v Central… 1-1
Oct 26 Welling… v Brisban… 2-1
Oct 18 Welling… v Perth G… 2-2
May 04 Welling… v Perth G… 0-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Apr 12, 2025 Wellington Ph… 2-3 Melbourne Vic…
Feb 14, 2025 Melbourne Vic… 1-0 Wellington Ph…
Nov 24, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-0 Melbourne Vic…
May 18, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
May 12, 2024 Melbourne Vic… 0-0 Wellington Ph…
Apr 12, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-0 Melbourne Vic…
Jan 19, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-1 Melbourne Vic…
Nov 10, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 1-1 Wellington Ph…
Apr 01, 2023 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
Feb 03, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 3-1 Wellington Ph…
Key Factors
Wellington Phoenix struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.