AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Dec 27, 2025

Arbroath

Home
VS
15:00

Airdrieonians

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Arbroath Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Airdrieonians Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 2.36 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.0 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Arbroath Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Airdrieonians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Arbroath Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Arbroath vs Ross Coun… 0-2
Dec 13 Arbroath vs Partick 2-1
Dec 09 Arbroath vs Kelty Hea… 3-2
Dec 06 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 1-2
Nov 29 Arbroath vs East Fife 0-2
Nov 22 Arbroath vs Raith Rov… 0-0
Nov 15 Arbroath vs Ayr Utd 1-1
Nov 08 Arbroath vs Morton 1-0
Nov 01 Arbroath vs Ross Coun… 3-0
Oct 25 Arbroath vs Airdrieon… 1-0
Airdrieonians Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Airdrieon… vs Queen's P… 0-3
Dec 13 Airdrieon… vs Morton 0-1
Dec 09 Airdrieon… vs Alloa Ath… 2-3
Dec 06 Airdrieon… vs Ross Coun… 1-2
Nov 29 Airdrieon… vs Hamilton … 4-0
Nov 22 Airdrieon… vs Ayr Utd 0-1
Nov 15 Airdrieon… vs Raith Rov… 0-3
Nov 07 Airdrieon… vs Partick 1-1
Nov 01 Airdrieon… vs ST Johnst… 3-0
Oct 25 Airdrieon… vs Arbroath 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arbroath in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Airdrieonians in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 Airdrieonians 1 - 0 Arbroath Championship
Aug 30, 2025 Arbroath 1 - 0 Airdrieonians Championship
Apr 02, 2024 Arbroath 1 - 2 Airdrieonians Championship
Mar 16, 2024 Airdrieonians 5 - 2 Arbroath Championship
Nov 11, 2023 Airdrieonians 2 - 0 Arbroath Championship
Sep 16, 2023 Arbroath 4 - 0 Airdrieonians Championship
Jul 23, 2022 Arbroath 3 - 0 Airdrieonians League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Arbroath to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arbroath Power 0
Airdrieonians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Arbroath Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Airdrieonians Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.