Primera A · Dec 05, 2025 00:05
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Atlético Nacional to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atlético Nacio… Form
WLDDW
STABLE
Independiente … Form
LDLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS50%
Under 2.536%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Independien… Goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Atlético Nacio…vs
0.76
Independiente …Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Atlético Na…+6
Gap#17
Independien…
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Atlético Nacio…
12.0%
| Dec 04 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Atlétic… v Junior | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | Atlétic… v America… | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Atlétic… v America… | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Atlétic… v Rionegr… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Atlétic… v America… | 4-1 |
| Oct 31 | Atlétic… v Llaneros | 0-3 |
Independiente …
4.0%
| Dec 04 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Indepen… v America… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Indepen… v America… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Indepen… v Junior | 1-0 |
| Nov 14 | Indepen… v America… | 3-0 |
| Nov 11 | Indepen… v Envigado | 1-1 |
| Nov 07 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 1-4 |
| Nov 03 | Indepen… v Envigado | 0-1 |
| Oct 29 | Indepen… v Bucaram… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 04, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 2-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Independiente… | 0-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 5-2 | Independiente… |
| Sep 08, 2025 | Independiente… | 3-3 | Atlético Naci… |
| May 04, 2025 | Independiente… | 1-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-0 | Independiente… |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-2 | Atlético Naci… |
Key Factors
Independiente Medellin struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.