AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 05, 2022

Peterhead

Home
VS
15:00

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Peterhead Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Alloa Athletic Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.19 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Peterhead Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 02 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 0-1
Dec 22 Peterhead vs Montrose 2-0
Nov 13 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 3-0
Oct 30 Peterhead vs Montrose 0-0
Oct 16 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 2-4
Sep 18 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 0-1
Aug 14 Peterhead vs Montrose 1-0
Jul 31 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 2-0
Jul 17 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 3-1
Jul 13 Peterhead vs Inverness… 2-0
Alloa Athletic Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-3
Jan 29 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 2-1
Jan 15 Alloa Ath… vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Dec 26 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 3-1
Dec 17 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 0-4
Dec 11 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 0-1
Dec 03 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 0-1
Nov 20 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-2
Nov 06 Alloa Ath… vs Stranraer 2-2
Oct 30 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Peterhead struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Alloa Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 16, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 4 Peterhead League One
Jul 31, 2021 Peterhead 2 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Peterhead Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Peterhead Position

-2

Position Gap

4

Alloa Athletic Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.