AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 05, 2023

Montrose

Home
VS
14:00

Kelty Hearts

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Montrose Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Kelty Hearts Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.50 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Montrose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Montrose Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Montrose vs Queen of … 2-3
Apr 15 Montrose vs Peterhead 2-1
Apr 08 Montrose vs Airdrieon… 3-0
Mar 18 Montrose vs Kelty Hea… 1-2
Jan 02 Montrose vs Peterhead 0-0
Dec 23 Montrose vs Airdrieon… 2-4
Nov 05 Montrose vs Peterhead 3-0
Oct 29 Montrose vs Airdrieon… 4-0
Oct 04 Montrose vs Airdrieon… 4-2
Sep 03 Montrose vs Peterhead 0-2
Kelty Hearts Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 4-1
Apr 29 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 2-1
Apr 01 Kelty Hea… vs Dunfermli… 0-0
Mar 18 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 1-2
Feb 25 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 1-1
Dec 24 Kelty Hea… vs Dunfermli… 1-2
Dec 03 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 3-0
Oct 29 Kelty Hea… vs Dunfermli… 2-1
Sep 17 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 2-1
Aug 20 Kelty Hea… vs Dunfermli… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Montrose in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 18, 2023 Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Montrose League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Montrose to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Montrose Power 0
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Montrose Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Kelty Hearts Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.