AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Apr 30, 2023

Gorilla

Home
VS
10:30

Rutsiro

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Gorilla Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Rutsiro Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.35 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.0 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gorilla Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Rutsiro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Gorilla Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-1
Mar 12 Gorilla vs Musanze 1-0
Mar 03 Gorilla vs Marines 2-1
Feb 03 Gorilla vs Gasogi Un… 1-2
Jan 20 Gorilla vs Police 2-3
Dec 10 Gorilla vs Marines 0-0
Dec 07 Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-1
Nov 26 Gorilla vs Police 0-1
Nov 12 Gorilla vs Gasogi Un… 2-3
Nov 06 Gorilla vs APR 1-0
Rutsiro Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 Rutsiro vs Bugesera 3-0
Feb 04 Rutsiro vs Mukura 1-1
Dec 21 Rutsiro vs Bugesera 2-1
Nov 12 Rutsiro vs Mukura 3-0
Nov 06 Rutsiro vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-2
Nov 03 Rutsiro vs Gorilla 0-0
Oct 02 Rutsiro vs AS Kigali 1-2
Jun 13 Rutsiro vs Gicumbi 1-3
May 15 Rutsiro vs AS Kigali 0-0
May 07 Rutsiro vs Gorilla 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gorilla struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2022 Rutsiro 0 - 0 Gorilla National Socce…
May 07, 2022 Gorilla 0 - 0 Rutsiro National Socce…
Dec 30, 2021 Rutsiro 1 - 0 Gorilla National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gorilla to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gorilla Power 0
Rutsiro Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Gorilla Position

+5

Position Gap

15

Rutsiro Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.