AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Jan 14, 2024

Virtus

Home
VS
14:00

Tre Penne

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Tre Penne Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.17 - 1.08
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Virtus Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Virtus vs Cailungo 3-0
Dec 09 Virtus vs Cosmos 3-0
Dec 06 Virtus vs Domagnano 0-2
Dec 02 Virtus vs Murata 2-0
Nov 26 Virtus vs Folgore 0-2
Nov 08 Virtus vs Domagnano 2-1
Nov 04 Virtus vs Domagnano 0-1
Oct 28 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 2-1
Oct 03 Virtus vs Libertas 2-1
Sep 22 Virtus vs Pennarossa 1-0
Tre Penne Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Tre Penne vs La Fiorit… 1-2
Dec 09 Tre Penne vs Folgore 0-2
Dec 06 Tre Penne vs Libertas 5-1
Dec 02 Tre Penne vs Libertas 2-1
Nov 11 Tre Penne vs Fiorentino 6-0
Nov 08 Tre Penne vs Libertas 1-3
Oct 29 Tre Penne vs Murata 3-0
Oct 07 Tre Penne vs San Giova… 5-0
Oct 04 Tre Penne vs Faetano 6-1
Oct 01 Tre Penne vs Cailungo 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Tre Penne in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 01, 2023 Tre Penne 0 - 2 Virtus Super Cup
May 27, 2023 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Penne Coppa Titano
Mar 08, 2023 Tre Penne 2 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Nov 05, 2022 Virtus 0 - 0 Tre Penne Campionato
Apr 03, 2022 Virtus 2 - 1 Tre Penne Campionato
Sep 19, 2021 Tre Penne 2 - 0 Virtus Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
Tre Penne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Virtus Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Tre Penne Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.