AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Apr 06, 2025

Virtus

Home
VS
13:00

Tre Penne

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Tre Penne Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (29%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Virtus Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 1-0
Mar 29 Virtus vs Libertas 0-2
Mar 15 Virtus vs Cailungo 2-0
Mar 05 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 0-0
Mar 01 Virtus vs Folgore 0-2
Feb 23 Virtus vs Murata 0-1
Feb 16 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 1-1
Feb 10 Virtus vs Cosmos 2-3
Jan 21 Virtus vs Domagnano 3-0
Jan 12 Virtus vs Pennarossa 2-1
Tre Penne Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Tre Penne vs San Giova… 3-2
Mar 16 Tre Penne vs Folgore 1-1
Mar 01 Tre Penne vs Fiorentino 0-0
Feb 16 Tre Penne vs Libertas 0-2
Feb 08 Tre Penne vs Cailungo 2-1
Jan 26 Tre Penne vs Pennarossa 0-0
Jan 22 Tre Penne vs Faetano 5-0
Jan 19 Tre Penne vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Jan 11 Tre Penne vs Juvenes /… 1-2
Dec 21 Tre Penne vs San Marin… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Tre Penne in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2024 Tre Penne 1 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Apr 20, 2024 Tre Penne 0 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Jan 14, 2024 Virtus 1 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Sep 01, 2023 Tre Penne 0 - 2 Virtus Super Cup
May 27, 2023 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Penne Coppa Titano
Mar 08, 2023 Tre Penne 2 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Nov 05, 2022 Virtus 0 - 0 Tre Penne Campionato
Apr 03, 2022 Virtus 2 - 1 Tre Penne Campionato
Sep 19, 2021 Tre Penne 2 - 0 Virtus Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
Tre Penne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Virtus Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Tre Penne Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.