AI Match Insights

Coupe Nationale Dec 05, 2025

MC Oran

Home
VS
16:00

Mostaganem

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
MC Oran Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Mostaganem Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.24 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MC Oran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Mostaganem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
MC Oran Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 20 MC Oran vs ES Sétif 0-0
Nov 08 MC Oran vs MB Rouiss… 1-3
Nov 01 MC Oran vs CS Consta… 1-0
Oct 25 MC Oran vs El Bayadh 0-2
Oct 18 MC Oran vs JS Saoura 1-1
Oct 04 MC Oran vs Khenchela 2-0
Sep 27 MC Oran vs Paradou AC 3-1
Sep 16 MC Oran vs MC Alger 3-2
Sep 12 MC Oran vs JS Kabylie 2-0
Sep 05 MC Oran vs Mostaganem 0-0
Mostaganem Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 17 Mostaganem vs USM Alger 2-2
Nov 08 Mostaganem vs Khenchela 1-0
Nov 02 Mostaganem vs CR Beloui… 0-2
Oct 26 Mostaganem vs Paradou AC 1-0
Oct 17 Mostaganem vs ASO Chlef 0-1
Oct 04 Mostaganem vs MC Alger 1-0
Sep 29 Mostaganem vs ES Sétif 1-0
Sep 24 Mostaganem vs JS Kabylie 1-0
Sep 11 Mostaganem vs MB Rouiss… 1-1
Sep 05 Mostaganem vs MC Oran 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • MC Oran in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Mostaganem struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 05, 2025 MC Oran 0 - 0 Mostaganem Ligue 1
Feb 19, 2025 MC Oran 1 - 0 Mostaganem Ligue 1
Sep 28, 2024 Mostaganem 2 - 1 MC Oran Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: MC Oran to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MC Oran Power 0
Mostaganem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.