AI Match Insights

W-League Feb 28, 2021

Melbourne Victory Women

Home
VS
05:05

Canberra United Women

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Melbourne Victory Women Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Canberra United Women Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 1.70 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Melbourne Victory Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-2
Feb 07 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 4-2
Canberra United Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 2-1
Feb 08 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 4-0
Jan 30 Canberra … vs Western S… 3-0
Jan 07 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 1-1
Jan 03 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 30 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 4-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Canberra United Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Canberra United Women Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.