AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 31, 2022

Melbourne Victory Women

Home
VS
04:00

Canberra United Women

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Melbourne Victory Women Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Canberra United Women Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.87 - 1.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.8
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Melbourne Victory Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 5-2
Nov 26 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Mar 27 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 1-2
Mar 20 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Mar 13 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Mar 04 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 0-0
Feb 26 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 3-0
Feb 22 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-2
Feb 16 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 2-2
Feb 08 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Canberra United Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 0-4
Dec 18 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Dec 10 Canberra … vs Wellingto… 3-0
Nov 26 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 1-1
Nov 19 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 2-2
Mar 10 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 3-3
Mar 04 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 0-0
Feb 25 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 3-0
Feb 22 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 2-2
Feb 15 Canberra … vs Western S… 0-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne Victory Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 04, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 0 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Feb 22, 2022 Canberra United Wom… 2 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 28, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 1 - 1 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Canberra United Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Canberra United Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.