AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Nov 24, 2023

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
08:45

Melbourne Victory

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Melbourne Victory Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 1.20
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Melbourne Victory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Macarthur FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 3-3
Oct 29 Macarthur… vs Central C… 1-2
Oct 21 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 1-1
Jul 18 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 0-4
Apr 29 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Apr 23 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Apr 14 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 2-1
Apr 08 Macarthur… vs Western S… 2-2
Apr 01 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Mar 19 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Melbourne Victory Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-1
Nov 04 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-1
Oct 21 Melbourne… vs Sydney 0-2
Apr 29 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 0-1
Apr 23 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 2-1
Apr 15 Melbourne… vs Western S… 2-1
Apr 09 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 0-0
Apr 05 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Apr 01 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-2
Mar 19 Melbourne… vs Central C… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 23, 2023 Melbourne Victory 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Dec 11, 2022 Macarthur FC 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory A-League
Apr 22, 2022 Macarthur FC 1 - 4 Melbourne Victory A-League
Mar 04, 2022 Melbourne Victory 3 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
May 14, 2021 Macarthur FC 3 - 1 Melbourne Victory A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Melbourne Victory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Melbourne Victory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.