Serie A · Oct 06, 2024 13:00

Bologna
PWR 36
0 - 0
FT

Parma
PWR 28
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bologna to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack20
Defense61
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.3
Bologna Form DDWDD
STABLE
Parma Form LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS57%
Under 2.543%
Bologna Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Parma Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Bologna
vs
1.09
Parma
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bologna
+5
Gap
#15
Parma
WR 36% 30 pts WR 27% 23 pts
Bologna 12.0%
Sep 28 Bologna v Atalanta 1-1
Sep 28 Bologna v Atalanta 1-1
Sep 22 Bologna v Monza 1-2
Sep 14 Bologna v Como 2-2
Sep 14 Bologna v Como 2-2
Aug 31 Bologna v Empoli 1-1
Aug 25 Bologna v Napoli 3-0
Aug 25 Bologna v Napoli 3-0
Aug 18 Bologna v Udinese 1-1
Aug 18 Bologna v Udinese 1-1
Parma 4.0%
Sep 30 Parma v Cagliari 2-3
Sep 21 Parma v Lecce 2-2
Sep 21 Parma v Lecce 2-2
Sep 16 Parma v Udinese 2-3
Sep 16 Parma v Udinese 2-3
Aug 31 Parma v Napoli 2-1
Aug 31 Parma v Napoli 2-1
Aug 24 Parma v AC Milan 2-1
Aug 17 Parma v Fiorent… 1-1
Aug 17 Parma v Fiorent… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Feb 07, 2021 Parma 0-3 Bologna
Sep 28, 2020 Bologna 4-1 Parma
Jul 12, 2020 Parma 2-2 Bologna
Key Factors
Parma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.