Serie A · Oct 06, 2024 13:00

Bologna
PWR 36

Parma
PWR 28

Bologna
PWR 36
0 - 0
FT

Parma
PWR 28
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bologna to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack20
Defense61
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.3
Bologna Form
DDWDD
STABLE
Parma Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS57%
Under 2.543%
Bologna Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Parma Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Bolognavs
1.09
ParmaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bologna+5
Gap#15
Parma
WR 36% 30 pts
WR 27% 23 pts
Bologna
12.0%
| Sep 28 | Bologna v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Bologna v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Bologna v Monza | 1-2 |
| Sep 14 | Bologna v Como | 2-2 |
| Sep 14 | Bologna v Como | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Bologna v Empoli | 1-1 |
| Aug 25 | Bologna v Napoli | 3-0 |
| Aug 25 | Bologna v Napoli | 3-0 |
| Aug 18 | Bologna v Udinese | 1-1 |
| Aug 18 | Bologna v Udinese | 1-1 |
Parma
4.0%
| Sep 30 | Parma v Cagliari | 2-3 |
| Sep 21 | Parma v Lecce | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | Parma v Lecce | 2-2 |
| Sep 16 | Parma v Udinese | 2-3 |
| Sep 16 | Parma v Udinese | 2-3 |
| Aug 31 | Parma v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Aug 31 | Parma v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | Parma v AC Milan | 2-1 |
| Aug 17 | Parma v Fiorent… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Parma v Fiorent… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 07, 2021 | Parma | 0-3 | Bologna |
| Sep 28, 2020 | Bologna | 4-1 | Parma |
| Jul 12, 2020 | Parma | 2-2 | Bologna |
Key Factors
Parma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.