AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Liga Feb 24, 2024

FK Crvena zvezda

Home
VS
15:00

Cukaricki

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FK Crvena zvezda Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Cukaricki Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.07 - 1.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.5 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Crvena zvezda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Cukaricki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
FK Crvena zvezda Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 FK Crvena… vs Novi Pazar 0-3
Jan 28 FK Crvena… vs Mladost L… 2-0
Jan 24 FK Crvena… vs FK Sparta… 3-1
Dec 16 FK Crvena… vs FK Sparta… 1-4
Dec 13 FK Crvena… vs Mancheste… 2-3
Dec 09 FK Crvena… vs Mladost L… 3-1
Nov 25 FK Crvena… vs Vojvodina 1-2
Nov 01 FK Crvena… vs TSC Bačka… 1-1
Oct 21 FK Crvena… vs Javor 3-2
Sep 16 FK Crvena… vs Cukaricki 2-1
Cukaricki Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Cukaricki vs Radnik Su… 0-3
Dec 18 Cukaricki vs IMT Novi … 0-1
Dec 03 Cukaricki vs Radnički … 4-1
Nov 26 Cukaricki vs Radnicki … 0-2
Nov 22 Cukaricki vs Napredak 1-0
Sep 30 Cukaricki vs FK Sparta… 0-3
Sep 16 Cukaricki vs FK Crvena… 2-1
Aug 27 Cukaricki vs Radnik Su… 0-0
Aug 18 Cukaricki vs IMT Novi … 3-0
Aug 06 Cukaricki vs Radnički … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FK Crvena zvezda in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Cukaricki in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 16, 2023 Cukaricki 2 - 1 FK Crvena zvezda Super Liga
May 25, 2023 FK Crvena zvezda 2 - 1 Cukaricki Cup
Apr 30, 2023 FK Crvena zvezda 4 - 0 Cukaricki Super Liga
Feb 18, 2023 FK Crvena zvezda 3 - 0 Cukaricki Super Liga
Nov 10, 2022 Cukaricki 0 - 2 FK Crvena zvezda Super Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FK Crvena zvezda to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Crvena zvezda Power 0
Cukaricki Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FK Crvena zvezda Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Cukaricki Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.