AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Sep 22, 2023

Dinamo București

Home
VS
18:00

Farul Constanța

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Dinamo București Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Farul Constanța Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.42 - 1.15
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.1 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dinamo București Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Farul Constanța Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Dinamo București Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Dinamo Bu… vs Metaloglo… 1-2
Aug 26 Dinamo Bu… vs Petrolul … 1-1
Aug 05 Dinamo Bu… vs Universit… 1-1
Jul 22 Dinamo Bu… vs FCSB 2-1
May 11 Dinamo Bu… vs Oţelul 0-2
Apr 07 Dinamo Bu… vs Oţelul 3-0
Mar 25 Dinamo Bu… vs Petrolul … 1-1
Oct 22 Dinamo Bu… vs Metaloglo… 1-2
Aug 16 Dinamo Bu… vs Oţelul 1-3
May 13 Dinamo Bu… vs Uta Arad 1-1
Farul Constanța Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 Farul Con… vs Universit… 2-0
Aug 06 Farul Con… vs Petrolul … 3-2
Jul 15 Farul Con… vs AFC Herma… 0-1
May 13 Farul Con… vs Universit… 1-1
Apr 08 Farul Con… vs Universit… 3-2
Feb 24 Farul Con… vs Uta Arad 0-1
Feb 18 Farul Con… vs Petrolul … 2-0
Dec 10 Farul Con… vs AFC Herma… 4-0
Oct 02 Farul Con… vs Uta Arad 2-0
Sep 16 Farul Con… vs Petrolul … 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Farul Constanța in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2022 Dinamo București 2 - 2 Farul Constanța Friendlies Clu…
Dec 20, 2021 Dinamo București 0 - 2 Farul Constanța Liga I
Aug 20, 2021 Farul Constanța 3 - 0 Dinamo București Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dinamo București to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dinamo București Power 0
Farul Constanța Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Dinamo București Position

+8

Position Gap

11

Farul Constanța Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.