AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Aug 28, 2022

Lech Poznan

Home
VS
15:30

Piast Gliwice

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Lech Poznan Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Piast Gliwice Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.20 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lech Poznan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Piast Gliwice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Lech Poznan Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 08 Lech Pozn… vs Piast Gli… 1-2
Feb 20 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 1-0
Feb 06 Lech Pozn… vs Cracovia … 3-3
Nov 20 Lech Pozn… vs Piast Gli… 1-0
Aug 22 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 2-0
Aug 06 Lech Pozn… vs Cracovia … 2-0
Jul 03 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 0-1
Apr 20 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 3-0
Apr 03 Lech Pozn… vs Cracovia … 2-1
Piast Gliwice Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Piast Gli… vs Legia War… 2-0
Jul 09 Piast Gli… vs Sigma Olo… 1-2
May 08 Piast Gli… vs Lech Pozn… 1-2
Apr 18 Piast Gli… vs Legia War… 0-1
Feb 26 Piast Gli… vs Gornik Za… 0-0
Feb 09 Piast Gli… vs Gornik Za… 0-0
Dec 10 Piast Gli… vs Raków Czę… 1-0
Nov 20 Piast Gli… vs Lech Pozn… 1-0
Oct 24 Piast Gli… vs Legia War… 4-1
Aug 28 Piast Gli… vs Gornik Za… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lech Poznan in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Piast Gliwice struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 08, 2022 Piast Gliwice 1 - 2 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Nov 20, 2021 Lech Poznan 1 - 0 Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lech Poznan Power 0
Piast Gliwice Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Lech Poznan Position

+3

Position Gap

12

Piast Gliwice Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.