2. Bundesliga · Nov 09, 2020 19:30
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
1 - 1
FT
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
54% H
23% D
23% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Holstein Kiel to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-2 (5%)
3-0 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Holstein Kiel Form
LDWWD
STABLE
Hamburger SV Form
DLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS79%
Under 2.525%
Holstein Kiā¦ Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.35
Holstein Kielvs
1.69
Hamburger SVDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Holstein Kiā¦+3
Gap#14
Hamburger SV
WR 39% 97 pts
WR 43% 77 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 67 | 26 | 19 | 22 | 104 | 99 | 97 |
| Hamburger SV | 49 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 96 | 67 | 77 |
Holstein Kiel
12.0%
| Oct 24 | Holsteiā¦ v SpVgg Gā¦ | 1-3 |
| Sep 26 | Holsteiā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jun 18 | Holsteiā¦ v Dynamo ā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jun 08 | Holsteiā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 3-3 |
| May 30 | Holsteiā¦ v Arminiaā¦ | 1-2 |
| May 24 | Holsteiā¦ v VfB Stuā¦ | 3-2 |
Hamburger SV
6.7%
| Oct 30 | Hamburgā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Jun 21 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jun 08 | Hamburgā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jun 08, 2020 | Hamburger SV | 3-3 | Holstein Kiel |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.