AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Bundesliga Oct 30, 2021

Hamburger SV

Home
VS
18:30

Holstein Kiel

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Hamburger SV Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Holstein Kiel Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.89 - 1.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.3
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamburger SV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Holstein Kiel Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Hamburger SV Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 18 Hamburger… vs Werder Br… 0-2
Aug 13 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 3-2
Jul 07 Hamburger… vs FC Augsbu… 2-2
Mar 08 Hamburger… vs Holstein … 1-1
Mar 01 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 1-0
Nov 09 Hamburger… vs Holstein … 1-1
Oct 30 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 2-2
Jun 08 Hamburger… vs Holstein … 3-3
Holstein Kiel Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Holstein … vs SC Paderb… 1-2
Mar 08 Holstein … vs Hamburger… 1-1
Feb 22 Holstein … vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
Jan 30 Holstein … vs Eintracht… 3-1
Jan 27 Holstein … vs SC Paderb… 1-1
Nov 09 Holstein … vs Hamburger… 1-1
Oct 24 Holstein … vs SpVgg Gre… 1-3
Sep 26 Holstein … vs Eintracht… 0-0
Sep 20 Holstein … vs SC Paderb… 1-0
Jun 18 Holstein … vs Dynamo Dr… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2021 Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Nov 09, 2020 Holstein Kiel 1 - 1 Hamburger SV 2. Bundesliga
Jun 08, 2020 Hamburger SV 3 - 3 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Holstein Kiel to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamburger SV Power 29
Holstein Kiel Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.