AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Coppa Italia Dec 04, 2025

Bologna

Home
VS
17:00

Parma

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Parma Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.81 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Parma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Bologna Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 Bologna vs Cremonese 1-3
Nov 27 Bologna vs RB Salzbu… 4-1
Nov 22 Bologna vs Udinese 0-3
Nov 09 Bologna vs Napoli 2-0
Nov 06 Bologna vs Brann 0-0
Nov 02 Bologna vs Parma 1-3
Oct 29 Bologna vs Torino 0-0
Oct 26 Bologna vs Fiorentina 2-2
Oct 23 Bologna vs FCSB 1-2
Oct 19 Bologna vs Cagliari 0-2
Parma Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Parma vs Udinese 0-2
Nov 23 Parma vs Verona 1-2
Nov 14 Parma vs Mantova 2-1
Nov 08 Parma vs AC Milan 2-2
Nov 02 Parma vs Bologna 1-3
Oct 29 Parma vs Roma 2-1
Oct 25 Parma vs Como 0-0
Oct 19 Parma vs Genoa 0-0
Oct 04 Parma vs Lecce 0-1
Sep 29 Parma vs Torino 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bologna in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 Parma 1 - 3 Bologna Serie A
Feb 22, 2025 Parma 2 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 06, 2024 Bologna 0 - 0 Parma Pro League
Oct 06, 2024 Bologna 0 - 0 Parma Serie A
Feb 07, 2021 Parma 0 - 3 Bologna Serie A
Sep 28, 2020 Bologna 4 - 1 Parma Serie A
Jul 12, 2020 Parma 2 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bologna to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Parma Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.