Liga Nacional · Dec 01, 2024 01:00
Génesis
PWR 37
PWR 37
3 - 0
FT
Juticalpa
PWR 31
PWR 31
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (12%)
0-0 (10%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
Attack38
Defense30
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.0
Génesis Form
DWLDL
STABLE
Juticalpa Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS27%
Under 2.561%
Génesis Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Juticalpa Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Génesisvs
0.38
JuticalpaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Génesis+2
Gap#10
Juticalpa
WR 21% 52 pts
WR 25% 48 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Génesis | 52 | 11 | 19 | 22 | 58 | 78 | 52 |
| Juticalpa | 48 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 52 | 96 | 48 |
Génesis
8.0%
| Oct 27 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Génesis v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 4-0 |
| Sep 22 | Génesis v Jutical… | 0-0 |
| Aug 17 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-0 |
| Aug 04 | Génesis v Victoria | 2-2 |
| Jul 28 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 0-3 |
| Apr 24 | Génesis v Real Es… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Génesis v Victoria | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 4-0 |
Juticalpa
6.0%
| Nov 24 | Jutical… v CD Mota… | 1-3 |
| Nov 06 | Jutical… v Lobos U… | 3-0 |
| Nov 03 | Jutical… v CD Olim… | 0-2 |
| Oct 28 | Jutical… v Victoria | 4-0 |
| Oct 20 | Jutical… v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Jutical… v Génesis | 0-0 |
| Sep 18 | Jutical… v CD Mota… | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Jutical… v Lobos U… | 4-1 |
| Aug 26 | Jutical… v CD Olim… | 1-1 |
| Aug 18 | Jutical… v Victoria | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa | 0-0 | Génesis |
Key Factors
Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.