Liga Nacional · Dec 01, 2024 01:00
Génesis
PWR 37
3 - 0
FT
Juticalpa
PWR 31
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
Attack38
Defense30
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.0
Génesis Form DWLDL
STABLE
Juticalpa Form LWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS27%
Under 2.561%
Génesis Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Juticalpa Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Génesis
vs
0.38
Juticalpa
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Génesis
+2
Gap
#10
Juticalpa
WR 21% 52 pts WR 25% 48 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Génesis52111922587852
Juticalpa48121224529648
Génesis 8.0%
Oct 27 Génesis v Real Es… 1-1
Oct 05 Génesis v Victoria 2-1
Sep 29 Génesis v CD Olim… 4-0
Sep 22 Génesis v Jutical… 0-0
Aug 17 Génesis v Real Es… 1-0
Aug 04 Génesis v Victoria 2-2
Jul 28 Génesis v CD Olim… 0-3
Apr 24 Génesis v Real Es… 2-1
Mar 14 Génesis v Victoria 0-0
Mar 10 Génesis v CD Olim… 4-0
Juticalpa 6.0%
Nov 24 Jutical… v CD Mota… 1-3
Nov 06 Jutical… v Lobos U… 3-0
Nov 03 Jutical… v CD Olim… 0-2
Oct 28 Jutical… v Victoria 4-0
Oct 20 Jutical… v CD Mara… 1-1
Sep 22 Jutical… v Génesis 0-0
Sep 18 Jutical… v CD Mota… 3-0
Aug 31 Jutical… v Lobos U… 4-1
Aug 26 Jutical… v CD Olim… 1-1
Aug 18 Jutical… v Victoria 1-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 22, 2024 Juticalpa 0-0 Génesis
Key Factors
Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.