Liga Nacional · Feb 23, 2025 21:00
Juticalpa
PWR 31
PWR 31
0 - 1
FT
Génesis
PWR 37
PWR 37
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (28%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense30
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.0
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
Juticalpa Form
LWWLD
STABLE
Génesis Form
LDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS12%
Under 2.586%
Juticalpa Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Génesis Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Juticalpavs
0.20
GénesisDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Juticalpa-2
Gap#8
Génesis
WR 25% 48 pts
WR 21% 52 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juticalpa | 48 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 52 | 96 | 48 |
| Génesis | 52 | 11 | 19 | 22 | 58 | 78 | 52 |
Juticalpa
10.0%
| Feb 12 | Jutical… v CD Mota… | 0-3 |
| Feb 09 | Jutical… v Victoria | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Jutical… v Lobos U… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Jutical… v CD Olim… | 3-0 |
| Jan 19 | Jutical… v CD Mara… | 0-0 |
| Dec 01 | Jutical… v Génesis | 3-0 |
| Nov 24 | Jutical… v CD Mota… | 1-3 |
| Nov 06 | Jutical… v Lobos U… | 3-0 |
| Nov 03 | Jutical… v CD Olim… | 0-2 |
| Oct 28 | Jutical… v Victoria | 4-0 |
Génesis
8.0%
| Jan 30 | Génesis v Victoria | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Génesis v Real Es… | 2-0 |
| Dec 05 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Génesis v Jutical… | 3-0 |
| Oct 27 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Génesis v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 4-0 |
| Sep 22 | Génesis v Jutical… | 0-0 |
| Aug 17 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 01, 2024 | Génesis | 3-0 | Juticalpa |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa | 0-0 | Génesis |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.