Serie A · Apr 22, 2023 18:45
Sampdoria
PWR 32
Spezia
PWR 30
Sampdoria
PWR 32
1 - 1
FT
Spezia
PWR 30
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sampdoria to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (10%)
0-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Sampdoria Form
LLW
DOWN
Spezia Form
WWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS45%
Under 2.561%
Sampdoria Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Spezia Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Sampdoriavs
0.96
SpeziaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#26
Sampdoria-2
Gap#24
Spezia
WR 25% 4 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Spezia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Sampdoria
6.7%
| Sep 17 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 2-1 |
Spezia
12.0%
| Sep 17 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 2-1 |
| Aug 20 | Spezia v Frosino… | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | Spezia v Frosino… | 0-1 |
| Jul 27 | Spezia v Virtus … | 0-0 |
| Jul 03 | Spezia v Frosino… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 17, 2022 | Spezia | 2-1 | Sampdoria |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Spezia | 1-0 | Sampdoria |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Sampdoria | 2-1 | Spezia |
Key Factors
Spezia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.