Serie B · Nov 24, 2023 19:30

Sampdoria
PWR 32
2 - 1
FT

Spezia
PWR 30
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sampdoria to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Sampdoria Form WWLWD
STABLE
Spezia Form DDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS59%
Under 2.532%
Sampdoria Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Spezia Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Sampdoria
vs
0.98
Spezia
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Sampdoria
+4
Gap
#18
Spezia
WR 46% 25 pts WR 18% 21 pts
Sampdoria 14.0%
Nov 11 Sampdor… v Monza 0-2
Nov 04 Sampdor… v Palermo 1-0
Oct 01 Sampdor… v Catanza… 1-2
Aug 03 Sampdor… v Virtus … 3-1
Apr 22 Sampdor… v Spezia 1-1
Sep 17 Sampdor… v Spezia 2-1
Jan 23 Sampdor… v Spezia 1-0
Oct 22 Sampdor… v Spezia 2-1
Spezia 14.0%
Oct 23 Spezia v Palermo 2-2
Aug 20 Spezia v Sudtirol 3-3
Apr 22 Spezia v Sampdor… 1-1
Sep 17 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Jan 23 Spezia v Sampdor… 1-0
Oct 22 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Aug 20 Spezia v Frosino… 0-1
Aug 16 Spezia v Frosino… 0-1
Jul 27 Spezia v Virtus … 0-0
Jul 03 Spezia v Frosino… 2-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Apr 22, 2023 Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Sep 17, 2022 Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Jan 23, 2022 Spezia 1-0 Sampdoria
Oct 22, 2021 Sampdoria 2-1 Spezia
Key Factors
Sampdoria in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.