Challenge League · Sep 02, 2022 18:15
FC Thun
PWR 59
Lausanne
PWR 31
FC Thun
PWR 59
2 - 0
FT
Lausanne
PWR 31
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: FC Thun to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack68
Defense54
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack49
Defense23
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G2.2
FC Thun Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Lausanne Form
WLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS55%
Under 2.534%
FC Thun Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Lausanne Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.51
FC Thunvs
0.83
LausanneDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
FC Thun+8
Gap#17
Lausanne
WR 54% 62 pts
WR 20% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Thun | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 68 | 46 | 62 |
| Lausanne | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
FC Thun
4.0%
| Jul 09 | FC Thun v Lausanne | 0-1 |
| Jun 25 | FC Thun v FC St. … | 3-3 |
| May 06 | FC Thun v FC Wint… | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | FC Thun v FC Wint… | 2-4 |
| Feb 10 | FC Thun v FC Luga… | 3-4 |
| Jan 08 | FC Thun v BSC You… | 6-1 |
| Oct 27 | FC Thun v Servett… | 4-1 |
| Oct 15 | FC Thun v FC Wint… | 0-2 |
| Sep 18 | FC Thun v Grassho… | 1-0 |
| Aug 20 | FC Thun v FC Wint… | 3-0 |
Lausanne
8.0%
| Jul 09 | Lausanne v FC Thun | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Lausanne v FC St. … | 4-0 |
| May 01 | Lausanne v FC Luze… | 3-0 |
| Apr 24 | Lausanne v Grassho… | 3-1 |
| Apr 18 | Lausanne v FC Luga… | 4-1 |
| Apr 09 | Lausanne v BSC You… | 2-2 |
| Apr 03 | Lausanne v Servett… | 4-1 |
| Feb 12 | Lausanne v Grassho… | 0-2 |
| Feb 05 | Lausanne v Servett… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Lausanne v FC St. … | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 09, 2022 | FC Thun | 0-1 | Lausanne |
Key Factors
FC Thun struggling (3L in last 5)
Lausanne struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.