Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · Mar 17, 2023 20:00

Lyon
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT

Nantes
PWR 26
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
Lyon Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Lyon Form DDDWD
STABLE
Nantes Form DWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS26%
Under 2.567%
Lyon Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Nantes Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Lyon
vs
0.38
Nantes
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings88%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Lyon
+12
Gap
#16
Nantes
WR 80% 39 pts WR 20% 14 pts
Lyon 12.0%
Mar 10 Lyon v Lille 3-3
Mar 05 Lyon v Lorient 0-0
Feb 08 Lyon v Lille 2-2
Feb 04 Lyon v Estac T… 1-3
Feb 01 Lyon v Stade B… 0-0
Jan 11 Lyon v Nantes 0-0
Jan 07 Lyon v Metz 2-1
Dec 28 Lyon v Stade B… 2-4
Oct 30 Lyon v Lille 1-0
Sep 11 Lyon v Monaco 2-1
Nantes 12.0%
Mar 12 Nantes v Nice 2-2
Mar 01 Nantes v Lens 2-1
Feb 19 Nantes v Lens 3-1
Feb 12 Nantes v Lorient 1-0
Feb 08 Nantes v Angers 1-1
Feb 01 Nantes v Marseil… 0-2
Jan 11 Nantes v Lyon 0-0
Dec 21 Nantes v Lorient 2-1
Oct 23 Nantes v Nice 1-1
Sep 18 Nantes v Lens 0-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Jan 11, 2023 Nantes 0-0 Lyon
May 14, 2022 Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Aug 27, 2021 Nantes 0-1 Lyon
Apr 18, 2021 Nantes 1-2 Lyon
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.