Coupe de France · Apr 05, 2023 19:10

Nantes
PWR 26
1 - 0
FT

Lyon
PWR 42
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lyon to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-2 (10%) 0-2 (9%) 1-0 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Nantes Form DDWLW
STABLE
Lyon Form DDDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS54%
Under 2.548%
Nantes Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Lyon Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Nantes
vs
1.74
Lyon
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum41%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Nantes
-14
Gap
#2
Lyon
WR 44% 14 pts WR 54% 23 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Nantes9423141314
Lyon13724211423
Nantes 12.0%
Mar 17 Nantes v Lyon 1-1
Mar 12 Nantes v Nice 2-2
Mar 01 Nantes v Lens 2-1
Feb 19 Nantes v Lens 3-1
Feb 12 Nantes v Lorient 1-0
Feb 08 Nantes v Angers 1-1
Feb 01 Nantes v Marseil… 0-2
Jan 11 Nantes v Lyon 0-0
Dec 21 Nantes v Lorient 2-1
Oct 23 Nantes v Nice 1-1
Lyon 12.0%
Mar 17 Lyon v Nantes 1-1
Mar 10 Lyon v Lille 3-3
Mar 05 Lyon v Lorient 0-0
Feb 08 Lyon v Lille 2-2
Feb 04 Lyon v Estac T… 1-3
Feb 01 Lyon v Stade B… 0-0
Jan 11 Lyon v Nantes 0-0
Jan 07 Lyon v Metz 2-1
Dec 28 Lyon v Stade B… 2-4
Oct 30 Lyon v Lille 1-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Mar 17, 2023 Lyon 1-1 Nantes
Jan 11, 2023 Nantes 0-0 Lyon
May 14, 2022 Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Aug 27, 2021 Nantes 0-1 Lyon
Apr 18, 2021 Nantes 1-2 Lyon
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.