Coupe de France · Apr 05, 2023 19:10

Nantes
PWR 26

Lyon
PWR 42

Nantes
PWR 26
1 - 0
FT

Lyon
PWR 42
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lyon to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
1-2 (10%)
0-2 (9%)
1-0 (6%)
0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Nantes Form
DDWLW
STABLE
Lyon Form
DDDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS54%
Under 2.548%
Nantes Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Lyon Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Nantesvs
1.74
LyonDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum41%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Nantes-14
Gap#2
Lyon
WR 44% 14 pts
WR 54% 23 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| Lyon | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
Nantes
12.0%
| Mar 17 | Nantes v Lyon | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Nantes v Nice | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Nantes v Lens | 2-1 |
| Feb 19 | Nantes v Lens | 3-1 |
| Feb 12 | Nantes v Lorient | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Nantes v Angers | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Nantes v Marseil… | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | Nantes v Lyon | 0-0 |
| Dec 21 | Nantes v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | Nantes v Nice | 1-1 |
Lyon
12.0%
| Mar 17 | Lyon v Nantes | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Lyon v Lille | 3-3 |
| Mar 05 | Lyon v Lorient | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Lyon v Lille | 2-2 |
| Feb 04 | Lyon v Estac T… | 1-3 |
| Feb 01 | Lyon v Stade B… | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Lyon v Nantes | 0-0 |
| Jan 07 | Lyon v Metz | 2-1 |
| Dec 28 | Lyon v Stade B… | 2-4 |
| Oct 30 | Lyon v Lille | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 17, 2023 | Lyon | 1-1 | Nantes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Nantes | 0-0 | Lyon |
| May 14, 2022 | Lyon | 3-2 | Nantes |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Nantes | 0-1 | Lyon |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Nantes | 1-2 | Lyon |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.