Ligue 1 · Dec 20, 2023 20:00

Lyon
PWR 42

Nantes
PWR 26

Lyon
PWR 42
1 - 0
FT

Nantes
PWR 26
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Lyon Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Lyon Form
WWWLL
UP
Nantes Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS48%
Under 2.537%
Lyon Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Nantes Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.99
Lyonvs
0.67
NantesDecision Breakdown
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings88%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Lyon+12
Gap#16
Nantes
WR 80% 39 pts
WR 20% 14 pts
Lyon
12.0%
| Dec 15 | Lyon v Monaco | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | Lyon v Monaco | 0-1 |
| Dec 10 | Lyon v Toulouse | 3-0 |
| Dec 06 | Lyon v Marseil… | 3-0 |
| Dec 02 | Lyon v Lens | 3-2 |
| Nov 26 | Lyon v Lille | 0-2 |
| Nov 26 | Lyon v Lille | 0-2 |
| Nov 05 | Lyon v Metz | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | Lyon v Lorient | 3-3 |
| Sep 23 | Lyon v Stade B… | 1-0 |
Nantes
10.0%
| Dec 17 | Nantes v Brest | 0-2 |
| Dec 09 | Nantes v Paris FC | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Nantes v Nice | 1-0 |
| Dec 02 | Nantes v Nice | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | Nantes v LE Havr… | 0-0 |
| Oct 28 | Nantes v Lens | 4-0 |
| Sep 23 | Nantes v Lorient | 5-3 |
| Sep 01 | Nantes v Marseil… | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Nantes v Lorient | 3-1 |
| Jul 23 | Nantes v Angers | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Apr 05, 2023 | Nantes | 1-0 | Lyon |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Lyon | 1-1 | Nantes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Nantes | 0-0 | Lyon |
| May 14, 2022 | Lyon | 3-2 | Nantes |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Nantes | 0-1 | Lyon |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Nantes | 1-2 | Lyon |
Key Factors
Lyon in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.