Ligue 1 · Dec 20, 2023 20:00

Lyon
PWR 42
1 - 0
FT

Nantes
PWR 26
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
Lyon Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Lyon Form WWWLL
UP
Nantes Form LLWWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS48%
Under 2.537%
Lyon Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Nantes Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.99
Lyon
vs
0.67
Nantes
Decision Breakdown
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings88%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Lyon
+12
Gap
#16
Nantes
WR 80% 39 pts WR 20% 14 pts
Lyon 12.0%
Dec 15 Lyon v Monaco 0-1
Dec 15 Lyon v Monaco 0-1
Dec 10 Lyon v Toulouse 3-0
Dec 06 Lyon v Marseil… 3-0
Dec 02 Lyon v Lens 3-2
Nov 26 Lyon v Lille 0-2
Nov 26 Lyon v Lille 0-2
Nov 05 Lyon v Metz 1-1
Oct 08 Lyon v Lorient 3-3
Sep 23 Lyon v Stade B… 1-0
Nantes 10.0%
Dec 17 Nantes v Brest 0-2
Dec 09 Nantes v Paris FC 2-1
Dec 02 Nantes v Nice 1-0
Dec 02 Nantes v Nice 1-0
Nov 26 Nantes v LE Havr… 0-0
Oct 28 Nantes v Lens 4-0
Sep 23 Nantes v Lorient 5-3
Sep 01 Nantes v Marseil… 1-1
Aug 02 Nantes v Lorient 3-1
Jul 23 Nantes v Angers 1-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Apr 05, 2023 Nantes 1-0 Lyon
Mar 17, 2023 Lyon 1-1 Nantes
Jan 11, 2023 Nantes 0-0 Lyon
May 14, 2022 Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Aug 27, 2021 Nantes 0-1 Lyon
Apr 18, 2021 Nantes 1-2 Lyon
Key Factors
Lyon in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.