Ligue 1 · Oct 06, 2024 13:00
Lyon
PWR 42
Nantes
PWR 26
Lyon
PWR 42
2 - 0
FT
Nantes
PWR 26
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
Lyon Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 10 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (10 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Lyon Form
WLDWL
STABLE
Nantes Form
DDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
Lyon Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Nantes Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
Lyonvs
1.08
NantesDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Lyon+13
Gap#16
Nantes
WR 80% 42 pts
WR 20% 14 pts
Lyon
10.0%
| Sep 29 | Lyon v Toulouse | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Lyon v Marseil… | 2-3 |
| Sep 15 | Lyon v Lens | 0-0 |
| Aug 30 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 4-3 |
| Aug 24 | Lyon v Monaco | 0-2 |
| Aug 24 | Lyon v Monaco | 0-2 |
| Aug 18 | Lyon v Rennes … | 3-0 |
| May 25 | Lyon v Paris S… | 1-2 |
| May 19 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| May 19 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
Nantes
10.0%
| Sep 29 | Nantes v St Etie… | 2-2 |
| Sep 22 | Nantes v Angers | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Nantes v Angers | 1-1 |
| Sep 15 | Nantes v Reims | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Nantes v Montpel… | 1-3 |
| Aug 25 | Nantes v Auxerre | 2-0 |
| Aug 18 | Nantes v Toulouse | 0-0 |
| Aug 07 | Nantes v Lorient | 1-1 |
| May 19 | Nantes v Monaco | 4-0 |
| May 19 | Nantes v Monaco | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 07, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Lyon |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Lyon |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Lyon | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Lyon | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Nantes | 1-0 | Lyon |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Lyon | 1-1 | Nantes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Nantes | 0-0 | Lyon |
| May 14, 2022 | Lyon | 3-2 | Nantes |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Nantes | 0-1 | Lyon |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Nantes | 1-2 | Lyon |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.