AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Feb 17, 2026

Sydney

Home
VS
08:00

Auckland

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sydney Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Auckland Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.11 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.0
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Auckland Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Sydney Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sydney vs Western S… 4-1
Jan 26 Sydney vs Melbourne… 4-0
Jan 18 Sydney vs Wellingto… 0-2
Jan 10 Sydney vs Macarthur… 0-3
Jan 03 Sydney vs Melbourne… 0-0
Dec 20 Sydney vs Newcastle… 2-0
Dec 13 Sydney vs Perth Glo… 0-1
Dec 06 Sydney vs Central C… 1-2
Nov 29 Sydney vs Western S… 1-0
Nov 22 Sydney vs Melbourne… 3-0
Auckland Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Auckland vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Jan 24 Auckland vs Central C… 2-2
Jan 16 Auckland vs Melbourne… 2-1
Jan 09 Auckland vs Brisbane … 0-2
Jan 05 Auckland vs Macarthur… 1-1
Jan 01 Auckland vs Newcastle… 1-3
Dec 19 Auckland vs Western S… 0-2
Dec 12 Auckland vs Central C… 1-2
Dec 06 Auckland vs Wellingto… 3-1
Nov 30 Auckland vs Newcastle… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Sydney 1 - 1 Auckland Australia Cup
Apr 12, 2025 Sydney 2 - 2 Auckland A-League
Oct 27, 2024 Auckland 1 - 0 Sydney A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sydney to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney Power 0
Auckland Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sydney Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Auckland Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.