Primeira Liga · Dec 23, 2025 20:45

Guimaraes
PWR 35
1 - 4
FT

Sporting CP
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guimaraes Form LWDWW
STABLE
Sporting CP Form WWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS45%
Under 2.556%
Guimaraes Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Sporting CP Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Guimaraes
vs
0.82
Sporting CP
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Guimaraes
-7
Gap
#2
Sporting CP
WR 46% 28 pts WR 80% 51 pts
Guimaraes 14.0%
Dec 17 Guimara… v AVS 0-1
Dec 13 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 0-1
Dec 08 Guimara… v GIL Vic… 0-0
Dec 04 Guimara… v FC Porto 1-3
Nov 28 Guimara… v AVS 4-0
Nov 08 Guimara… v Tondela 0-1
Nov 01 Guimara… v Benfica 0-3
Oct 26 Guimara… v Famalic… 2-0
Oct 04 Guimara… v Santa C… 2-1
Sep 28 Guimara… v Alverca 2-0
Sporting CP 12.0%
Dec 18 Sportin… v Santa C… 2-3
Dec 17 Sportin… v West Ha… 1-2
Dec 14 Sportin… v Vizela 0-1
Dec 13 Sportin… v AVS 6-0
Dec 09 Sportin… v Bayern … 3-1
Dec 05 Sportin… v Benfica 1-1
Nov 30 Sportin… v Estrela… 4-0
Nov 26 Sportin… v Club Br… 3-0
Nov 22 Sportin… v Moreire… 3-0
Nov 20 Sportin… v Sunderl… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
May 17, 2025 Sporting CP 2-0 Guimaraes
Jan 03, 2025 Guimaraes 4-4 Sporting CP
Apr 21, 2024 Sporting CP 3-0 Guimaraes
Dec 09, 2023 Guimaraes 3-2 Sporting CP
Apr 24, 2023 Guimaraes 0-2 Sporting CP
Nov 05, 2022 Sporting CP 3-0 Guimaraes
Mar 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting CP
Oct 30, 2021 Sporting CP 1-0 Guimaraes
Mar 20, 2021 Sporting CP 1-0 Guimaraes
Nov 07, 2020 Guimaraes 0-4 Sporting CP
Key Factors
Guimaraes in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.