AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 24, 2022

Lazio

Home
VS
18:45

AC Milan

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
AC Milan Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.34 - 1.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.7
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Lazio Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Lazio vs Genoa 1-4
Feb 27 Lazio vs Napoli 1-2
Feb 20 Lazio vs Udinese 1-1
Feb 12 Lazio vs Bologna 3-0
Feb 09 Lazio vs AC Milan 4-0
Feb 05 Lazio vs Fiorentina 0-3
Jan 18 Lazio vs Udinese 1-0
Dec 17 Lazio vs Genoa 3-1
Dec 02 Lazio vs Udinese 4-4
Nov 28 Lazio vs Napoli 4-0
AC Milan Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 AC Milan vs Genoa 2-0
Apr 10 AC Milan vs Torino 0-0
Apr 04 AC Milan vs Bologna 0-0
Mar 19 AC Milan vs Cagliari 0-1
Feb 09 AC Milan vs Lazio 4-0
Jan 13 AC Milan vs Genoa 3-1
Dec 01 AC Milan vs Genoa 0-3
Nov 28 AC Milan vs Sassuolo 1-3
Nov 20 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 4-3
Oct 26 AC Milan vs Torino 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 09, 2022 AC Milan 4 - 0 Lazio Coppa Italia
Sep 12, 2021 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Apr 26, 2021 Lazio 3 - 0 AC Milan Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
AC Milan Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Lazio Position

-6

Position Gap

2

AC Milan Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.