Serie A · May 06, 2023 13:00
AC Milan
PWR 45
Lazio
PWR 36
AC Milan
PWR 45
2 - 0
FT
Lazio
PWR 36
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: AC Milan to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy73%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense78
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.7
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
AC Milan Form
WDDWW
STABLE
Lazio Form
WDWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS30%
Under 2.565%
AC Milan Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Lazio Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
AC Milanvs
0.47
LazioDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AC Milan+6
Gap#8
Lazio
WR 64% 50 pts
WR 27% 32 pts
AC Milan
16.0%
| Apr 23 | AC Milan v Lecce | 2-0 |
| Apr 18 | AC Milan v Napoli | 1-1 |
| Apr 15 | AC Milan v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | AC Milan v Napoli | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | AC Milan v Napoli | 0-4 |
| Mar 04 | AC Milan v Fiorent… | 2-1 |
| Feb 10 | AC Milan v Torino | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | AC Milan v Sassuolo | 2-5 |
| Jan 24 | AC Milan v Lazio | 4-0 |
| Jan 14 | AC Milan v Lecce | 2-2 |
Lazio
12.0%
| Apr 08 | Lazio v Juventus | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | Lazio v Bologna | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Lazio v Napoli | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lazio v Verona | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Lazio v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lazio v Fiorent… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Lazio v AC Milan | 4-0 |
| Jan 19 | Lazio v Bologna | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Lazio v Lecce | 2-1 |
| Nov 13 | Lazio v Juventus | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 24, 2023 | Lazio | 4-0 | AC Milan |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Lazio | 1-2 | AC Milan |
| Feb 09, 2022 | AC Milan | 4-0 | Lazio |
| Sep 12, 2021 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Lazio |
| Apr 26, 2021 | Lazio | 3-0 | AC Milan |
Key Factors
AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.