AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Aug 31, 2024

Lazio

Home
VS
18:45

AC Milan

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
AC Milan Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.50 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Lazio Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Lazio vs Udinese 2-1
Aug 24 Lazio vs Udinese 2-1
Aug 18 Lazio vs Venezia 3-1
May 26 Lazio vs Sassuolo 1-1
May 26 Lazio vs Sassuolo 1-1
May 19 Lazio vs Inter 1-1
May 19 Lazio vs Inter 1-1
May 12 Lazio vs Empoli 2-0
May 12 Lazio vs Empoli 2-0
May 04 Lazio vs Monza 2-2
AC Milan Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 AC Milan vs Parma 2-1
Aug 17 AC Milan vs Torino 2-2
Aug 17 AC Milan vs Torino 2-2
May 31 AC Milan vs AS Roma 5-2
May 25 AC Milan vs Alianza 3-3
May 25 AC Milan vs Salernita… 3-3
May 18 AC Milan vs Torino 3-1
May 18 AC Milan vs Torino 3-1
May 11 AC Milan vs Cagliari 5-1
May 11 AC Milan vs Cagliari 5-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 01, 2024 Lazio 0 - 1 AC Milan Pro League
Mar 01, 2024 Lazio 0 - 1 AC Milan Serie A
Sep 30, 2023 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
May 06, 2023 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Jan 24, 2023 Lazio 4 - 0 AC Milan Serie A
Apr 24, 2022 Lazio 1 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Feb 09, 2022 AC Milan 4 - 0 Lazio Coppa Italia
Sep 12, 2021 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Apr 26, 2021 Lazio 3 - 0 AC Milan Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
AC Milan Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Lazio Position

-6

Position Gap

2

AC Milan Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.