AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Mar 02, 2025

AC Milan

Home
VS
19:45

Lazio

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
AC Milan Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Lazio Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.77 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
AC Milan Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 AC Milan vs Bologna 2-1
Feb 22 AC Milan vs Torino 2-1
Feb 18 AC Milan vs Feyenoord 1-1
Feb 15 AC Milan vs Verona 1-0
Feb 12 AC Milan vs Feyenoord 1-0
Feb 08 AC Milan vs Empoli 0-2
Feb 05 AC Milan vs AS Roma 3-1
Feb 02 AC Milan vs Inter 1-1
Jan 26 AC Milan vs Parma 3-2
Jan 18 AC Milan vs Juventus 2-0
Lazio Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Lazio vs Inter 2-0
Feb 22 Lazio vs Venezia 0-0
Feb 15 Lazio vs Napoli 2-2
Feb 09 Lazio vs Monza 5-1
Feb 03 Lazio vs Cagliari 1-2
Jan 26 Lazio vs Fiorentina 1-2
Jan 19 Lazio vs Verona 0-3
Jan 10 Lazio vs Como 1-1
Jan 05 Lazio vs AS Roma 2-0
Dec 28 Lazio vs Atalanta 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AC Milan struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2024 Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan Pro League
Aug 31, 2024 Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Mar 01, 2024 Lazio 0 - 1 AC Milan Pro League
Mar 01, 2024 Lazio 0 - 1 AC Milan Serie A
Sep 30, 2023 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
May 06, 2023 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Jan 24, 2023 Lazio 4 - 0 AC Milan Serie A
Apr 24, 2022 Lazio 1 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Feb 09, 2022 AC Milan 4 - 0 Lazio Coppa Italia
Sep 12, 2021 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: AC Milan to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AC Milan Power 45
Lazio Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AC Milan Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Lazio Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.