TrophĂ©e des Champions · Jan 05, 2025 16:30
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Monaco
PWR 34
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
1 - 0
FT
Monaco
PWR 34
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Paris Saint Germain to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
3-0 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
2-0 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack48
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Paris Saint Ge… Form
DWWDL
STABLE
Monaco Form
LLDWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS73%
Under 2.531%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Monaco Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Paris Saint Ge…vs
1.36
MonacoDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…+1
Gap#2
Monaco
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Ger… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Monaco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Paris Saint Ge…
12.0%
| Dec 22 | Paris S… v Lens | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Paris S… v Monaco | 2-4 |
| Dec 15 | Paris S… v Lyon | 3-1 |
| Dec 06 | Paris S… v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Paris S… v Bayern … | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 0-3 |
| Oct 19 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 4-2 |
| Sep 27 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-3 |
| Aug 16 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 1-4 |
Monaco
6.0%
| Dec 18 | Monaco v Paris S… | 2-4 |
| Dec 18 | Monaco v Paris FC | 2-4 |
| Dec 14 | Monaco v Reims | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Monaco v Toulouse | 2-0 |
| Dec 01 | Monaco v Marseil… | 2-1 |
| Dec 01 | Monaco v Marseil… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Monaco v Brest | 3-2 |
| Nov 22 | Monaco v Stade B… | 3-2 |
| Nov 09 | Monaco v Strasbo… | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | Monaco v Strasbo… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 18, 2024 | Monaco | 2-4 | Paris Saint G… |
| Mar 01, 2024 | Monaco | 0-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 5-2 | Monaco |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Monaco | 3-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 1-1 | Monaco |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Monaco | 3-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Paris Saint G… | 2-0 | Monaco |
| May 19, 2021 | Monaco | 0-2 | Paris Saint G… |
Key Factors
Monaco struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.