AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 13, 2025

Falkirk

Home
VS
20:00

Heart of Midlothian

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Falkirk Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Heart of Midlothian Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.23 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Heart of Midlothian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Falkirk Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Falkirk vs Hibernian 3-0
Dec 03 Falkirk vs Motherwell 0-0
Nov 30 Falkirk vs Rangers FC 0-0
Nov 22 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 0-3
Nov 08 Falkirk vs Livingston 1-1
Nov 01 Falkirk vs Kilmarnock 3-1
Oct 29 Falkirk vs Celtic 4-0
Oct 25 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Oct 18 Falkirk vs Motherwell 1-2
Oct 05 Falkirk vs Rangers FC 1-1
Heart of Midlothian Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Heart of … vs Celtic 1-2
Dec 03 Heart of … vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Nov 29 Heart of … vs Motherwell 0-0
Nov 23 Heart of … vs Aberdeen 1-0
Nov 09 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Nov 01 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 4-0
Oct 29 Heart of … vs St. Mirren 2-2
Oct 26 Heart of … vs Celtic 3-1
Oct 18 Heart of … vs Kilmarnock 0-3
Oct 04 Heart of … vs Hibernian 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Heart of Midlothian 3 - 0 Falkirk Premiership
Aug 17, 2024 Falkirk 2 - 0 Heart of Midlothian League Cup
Jul 03, 2021 Heart of Midlothian 4 - 0 Falkirk Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Falkirk Power 0
Heart of Midlothian Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Falkirk Position

-5

Position Gap

1

Heart of Midlothian Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 62%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.