Welsh Cup · Nov 29, 2025 14:00
Cardiff Draconians
PWR 49
PWR 49
3 - 3
FT
Trefelin
PWR 26
PWR 26
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Cardiff Draconians to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (16%)
0-2 (16%)
0-3 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack82
Defense30
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G2.0
Attack53
Defense21
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G2.3
Cardiff Dracon… Form
WLWDW
STABLE
Trefelin Form
WWWWD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS36%
Under 2.557%
Cardiff Dra… Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Trefelin Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Cardiff Dracon…vs
1.92
TrefelinDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#23
Cardiff Dra…+7
Gap#30
Trefelin
WR 33% 4 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconi… | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| Trefelin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
Cardiff Dracon…
14.0%
| Nov 08 | Cardiff… v Treowen… | 4-3 |
| Nov 01 | Cardiff… v Cambria… | 5-2 |
| Oct 25 | Cardiff… v Trethom… | 3-0 |
| Oct 11 | Cardiff… v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Cardiff… v Cwmbran… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Cardiff… v Llantwi… | 0-2 |
| Sep 20 | Cardiff… v Cwmbran… | 4-2 |
| Sep 16 | Cardiff… v Afan Li… | 1-3 |
| Sep 13 | Cardiff… v Baglan … | 0-0 |
| Sep 06 | Cardiff… v Aberyst… | 3-1 |
Trefelin
18.0%
| Nov 14 | Trefelin v Carmart… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Trefelin v Aberyst… | 0-2 |
| Nov 01 | Trefelin v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Oct 10 | Trefelin v Cambria… | 0-2 |
| Oct 04 | Trefelin v Afan Li… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Trefelin v Ynyshir… | 0-5 |
| Sep 12 | Trefelin v Ammanfo… | 2-0 |
| Sep 06 | Trefelin v Baglan … | 1-1 |
| Aug 25 | Trefelin v Llantwi… | 3-3 |
| Aug 22 | Trefelin v Cwmbran… | 4-0 |
Key Factors
Cardiff Draconians in strong form (3W in last 5)
Trefelin in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.