AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Welsh Cup Nov 22, 2025

Caernarfon Town

Home
VS
18:15

Colwyn Bay

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Caernarfon Town Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Colwyn Bay Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.82 - 0.57
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caernarfon Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Colwyn Bay Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (25%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Caernarfon Town Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Caernarfo… vs Llanelli … 1-1
Nov 08 Caernarfo… vs Haverford… 2-2
Nov 04 Caernarfo… vs The New S… 3-0
Nov 01 Caernarfo… vs Briton Fe… 4-1
Oct 25 Caernarfo… vs Penybont 0-2
Oct 18 Caernarfo… vs Newtown A… 0-3
Oct 18 Caernarfo… vs Trethomas… 5-1
Oct 11 Caernarfo… vs Barry Town 2-2
Oct 07 Caernarfo… vs The New S… 1-3
Oct 04 Caernarfo… vs Colwyn Bay 1-0
Colwyn Bay Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Colwyn Bay vs Haverford… 1-0
Nov 08 Colwyn Bay vs Llanelli … 3-1
Nov 01 Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town 1-4
Oct 25 Colwyn Bay vs Briton Fe… 0-2
Oct 11 Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff M… 0-0
Oct 07 Colwyn Bay vs Flint Tow… 0-1
Oct 04 Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfo… 1-0
Sep 27 Colwyn Bay vs Penybont 1-0
Sep 23 Colwyn Bay vs Bala Town 0-1
Sep 20 Colwyn Bay vs Llanelli … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2025 Colwyn Bay 1 - 0 Caernarfon Town Premier League
Aug 01, 2025 Caernarfon Town 3 - 0 Colwyn Bay League Cup
Dec 31, 2023 Caernarfon Town 2 - 1 Colwyn Bay Premier League
Aug 13, 2023 Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon Town Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caernarfon Town to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caernarfon Town Power 0
Colwyn Bay Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.