AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Feb 17, 2026

Charlton

Home
VS
19:45

Portsmouth FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Charlton Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Portsmouth FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.83 - 0.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Charlton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Portsmouth FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Charlton Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Charlton vs Leicester 0-2
Jan 24 Charlton vs Millwall 4-0
Jan 20 Charlton vs Derby 1-2
Jan 17 Charlton vs Sheffield… 1-0
Jan 10 Charlton vs Chelsea 1-5
Jan 04 Charlton vs Blackburn 2-2
Jan 01 Charlton vs Coventry 1-1
Dec 29 Charlton vs Portsmout… 2-1
Dec 26 Charlton vs Norwich C… 1-0
Dec 20 Charlton vs Oxford Un… 1-0
Portsmouth FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Portsmout… vs West Brom 3-0
Jan 25 Portsmout… vs Southampt… 1-1
Jan 21 Portsmout… vs Watford 1-1
Jan 17 Portsmout… vs Sheffield… 0-1
Jan 11 Portsmout… vs Arsenal 1-4
Jan 01 Portsmout… vs Bristol C… 5-0
Dec 29 Portsmout… vs Charlton 2-1
Dec 26 Portsmout… vs QPR 1-1
Dec 20 Portsmout… vs Derby 1-1
Dec 13 Portsmout… vs Blackburn 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Charlton struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2025 Portsmouth FC 2 - 1 Charlton Championship
Aug 03, 2024 Charlton 2 - 0 Portsmouth FC Friendlies Clu…
Feb 24, 2024 Charlton 0 - 0 Portsmouth FC Pro League
Feb 24, 2024 Charlton 0 - 0 Portsmouth FC League One
Nov 11, 2023 Portsmouth FC 2 - 2 Charlton League One
Jan 01, 2023 Portsmouth FC 1 - 3 Charlton League One
Oct 17, 2022 Charlton 3 - 0 Portsmouth FC League One
Jan 31, 2022 Portsmouth FC 1 - 2 Charlton League One
Sep 25, 2021 Charlton 2 - 2 Portsmouth FC League One
Feb 02, 2021 Charlton 1 - 3 Portsmouth FC League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Charlton to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Charlton Power 32
Portsmouth FC Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Charlton Position

+2

Position Gap

20

Portsmouth FC Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 15%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.