League Two · Dec 16, 2023 15:00
Forfar Athletic
PWR 35
Dumbarton
PWR 35
Forfar Athletic
PWR 35
2 - 4
FT
Dumbarton
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Forfar Athletic Form
LLWLW
DOWN
Dumbarton Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS43%
Under 2.562%
Forfar Athl… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Dumbarton Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Forfar Athleticvs
0.84
DumbartonDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Forfar Athl…+3
Gap#8
Dumbarton
WR 42% 27 pts
WR 27% 23 pts
Forfar Athletic
8.0%
| Aug 19 | Forfar … v Dumbart… | 3-1 |
| Apr 29 | Forfar … v Stirlin… | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Forfar … v Dumbart… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Forfar … v Stirlin… | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Forfar … v Dumbart… | 2-1 |
| Nov 19 | Forfar … v Dumbart… | 2-2 |
| Oct 01 | Forfar … v Dumbart… | 0-0 |
Dumbarton
12.0%
| Dec 09 | Dumbart… v Stenhou… | 0-1 |
| Nov 25 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 4-5 |
| Nov 18 | Dumbart… v Elgin C… | 1-0 |
| Oct 21 | Dumbart… v Spartans | 2-0 |
| Oct 07 | Dumbart… v Clyde | 0-4 |
| Sep 30 | Dumbart… v Stranra… | 3-1 |
| Sep 16 | Dumbart… v Elgin C… | 2-0 |
| Aug 26 | Dumbart… v Stenhou… | 2-4 |
| Aug 19 | Dumbart… v Forfar … | 3-1 |
| Aug 12 | Dumbart… v Spartans | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 19, 2023 | Dumbarton | 3-1 | Forfar Athlet… |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Dumbarton | 0-1 | Forfar Athlet… |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Forfar Athlet… | 2-1 | Dumbarton |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Dumbarton | 2-2 | Forfar Athlet… |
| Oct 01, 2022 | Forfar Athlet… | 0-0 | Dumbarton |
Key Factors
Dumbarton in strong form (3W in last 5)
Forfar Athletic struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.