AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Dec 23, 2023

Hamilton Academical

Home
VS
15:00

Kelty Hearts

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Hamilton Academical Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Kelty Hearts Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.09 - 1.93
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamilton Academical Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Hamilton Academical Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Hamilton … vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Dec 02 Hamilton … vs Queen of … 5-0
Nov 25 Hamilton … vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Nov 17 Hamilton … vs Raith Rov… 1-4
Nov 04 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 1-0
Sep 23 Hamilton … vs Queen of … 1-2
Sep 16 Hamilton … vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Aug 12 Hamilton … vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Aug 05 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 1-0
Jul 29 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 2-2
Kelty Hearts Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 0-1
Nov 25 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 0-2
Nov 18 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 1-3
Nov 11 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 0-1
Oct 21 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Sep 30 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 3-1
Sep 16 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 2-2
Aug 19 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Aug 12 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 0-2
Aug 05 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hamilton Academical struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Kelty Hearts struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 25, 2023 Hamilton Academical 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts FA Cup
Aug 12, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Hamilton Academical League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamilton Academical Power 0
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Hamilton Academical Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Kelty Hearts Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.