Challenge League · Dec 03, 2022 17:00

Vittoriosa Stars
PWR 35

Marsa
PWR 35

Vittoriosa Stars
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT

Marsa
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
0-0 (17%)
2-0 (17%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Vittoriosa Sta… Form
DLLDW
STABLE
Marsa Form
LWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS23%
Under 2.574%
Vittoriosa … Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Marsa Goals
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Vittoriosa Sta…vs
0.37
MarsaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings47%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Vittoriosa …+1
Gap#14
Marsa
WR 17% 11 pts
WR 33% 7 pts
Vittoriosa Sta…
8.0%
| Aug 27 | Vittori… v Marsa | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Vittori… v Zebbug … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Vittori… v St. And… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Vittori… v Marsa | 2-2 |
| Oct 22 | Vittori… v Zebbug … | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Vittori… v St. And… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Vittori… v Marsa | 0-1 |
Marsa
4.0%
| Nov 15 | Marsa v Melita | 2-3 |
| Nov 07 | Marsa v Swieqi … | 2-0 |
| Nov 01 | Marsa v Fgura U… | 0-2 |
| Oct 30 | Marsa v Melita | 0-2 |
| Oct 22 | Marsa v Zurrieq | 1-0 |
| Sep 10 | Marsa v Swieqi … | 2-1 |
| Aug 27 | Marsa v Vittori… | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Marsa v Zebbug … | 1-3 |
| Apr 01 | Marsa v Swieqi … | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Marsa v Pietà H… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 27, 2022 | Marsa | 1-1 | Vittoriosa St… |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Vittoriosa St… | 2-2 | Marsa |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Marsa | 0-1 | Vittoriosa St… |
Key Factors
Marsa struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.