AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Coppa Titano Mar 06, 2024

Virtus

Home
VS
19:45

Tre Fiori

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Tre Fiori Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.22 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Virtus Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Virtus vs Domagnano 0-0
Feb 20 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 0-1
Feb 03 Virtus vs Libertas 0-2
Jan 24 Virtus vs Pennarossa 1-4
Jan 20 Virtus vs Tre Fiori 1-0
Jan 14 Virtus vs Tre Penne 1-2
Dec 17 Virtus vs Cailungo 3-0
Dec 09 Virtus vs Cosmos 3-0
Dec 06 Virtus vs Domagnano 0-2
Dec 02 Virtus vs Murata 2-0
Tre Fiori Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Tre Fiori vs San Marin… 1-3
Feb 25 Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… 2-1
Feb 20 Tre Fiori vs Cosmos 1-1
Feb 17 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 4-2
Feb 03 Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa 3-0
Jan 24 Tre Fiori vs San Giova… 3-1
Jan 20 Tre Fiori vs Virtus 1-0
Dec 16 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 2-1
Dec 10 Tre Fiori vs Murata 0-0
Nov 25 Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 20, 2024 Virtus 1 - 0 Tre Fiori Campionato
Sep 16, 2023 Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Jan 29, 2023 Tre Fiori 1 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Dec 14, 2022 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
Tre Fiori Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.