AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Apr 15, 2023

Portadown

Home
VS
14:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Portadown Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Carrick Rangers Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.50 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Portadown Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Portadown vs Ballymena… 1-0
Apr 01 Portadown vs Glentoran 5-1
Mar 18 Portadown vs Crusaders… 2-2
Mar 04 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-3
Feb 24 Portadown vs Dungannon… 3-1
Feb 14 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 3-0
Feb 11 Portadown vs Ballymena… 0-0
Feb 04 Portadown vs Glentoran 0-3
Jan 02 Portadown vs Dungannon… 0-0
Dec 17 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 4-1
Carrick Rangers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-0
Mar 25 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 3-0
Mar 18 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 0-4
Mar 07 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 1-5
Mar 04 Carrick R… vs Portadown 1-3
Feb 25 Carrick R… vs Larne 2-3
Feb 18 Carrick R… vs Linfield 2-0
Jan 24 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 1-0
Jan 13 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 3-3
Dec 26 Carrick R… vs Larne 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 04, 2023 Portadown 1 - 3 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 19, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Nov 08, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portadown Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Portadown Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.