Premiership · Mar 08, 2025 17:30

Portadown
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Carrick Rangers
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Portadown Form LWDDL
STABLE
Carrick Rangers Form WLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS17%
Under 2.552%
Portadown Goals
0
8%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Carrick Ran… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Portadown
vs
0.20
Carrick Rangers
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Portadown
-3
Gap
#6
Carrick Ran…
WR 39% 28 pts WR 39% 32 pts
Portadown 8.0%
Feb 22 Portado… v Ballyme… 2-0
Feb 15 Portado… v Larne 2-0
Feb 09 Portado… v Clifton… 2-2
Feb 01 Portado… v Larne 1-1
Jan 25 Portado… v Crusade… 3-2
Jan 04 Portado… v Annagh … 3-2
Dec 30 Portado… v Glentor… 0-2
Dec 21 Portado… v Crusade… 1-0
Dec 14 Portado… v Clifton… 2-0
Nov 16 Portado… v Glentor… 0-2
Carrick Rangers 4.0%
Mar 04 Carrick… v Larne 1-0
Mar 01 Carrick… v Dungann… 1-3
Feb 15 Carrick… v Dungann… 3-1
Feb 12 Carrick… v Clifton… 3-0
Feb 08 Carrick… v Colerai… 0-1
Feb 04 Carrick… v Larne 1-2
Jan 18 Carrick… v Ballyme… 0-0
Jan 11 Carrick… v Linfield 3-0
Dec 30 Carrick… v Crusade… 0-0
Dec 26 Carrick… v Larne 0-0
Head-to-Head (7)
Nov 09, 2024 Portadown 1-1 Carrick Range…
Sep 07, 2024 Carrick Range… 0-1 Portadown
Jan 06, 2024 Carrick Range… 1-1 Portadown
Apr 15, 2023 Portadown 3-1 Carrick Range…
Mar 04, 2023 Portadown 1-3 Carrick Range…
Nov 19, 2022 Carrick Range… 2-0 Portadown
Nov 08, 2022 Carrick Range… 2-0 Portadown
Key Factors
Carrick Rangers struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.