League Cup · Sep 27, 2023 19:00
Newcastle United
PWR 35
Manchester City
PWR 46
Newcastle United
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Manchester City
PWR 46
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Newcastle United to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Strong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack61
Defense71
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Newcastle Unit… Form
WLLWD
STABLE
Manchester City Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS70%
Under 2.531%
Newcastle U… Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Manchester … Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Newcastle Unit…vs
1.51
Manchester CityDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Newcastle U…+4
Gap#5
Manchester …
WR 60% 30 pts
WR 60% 19 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 30 |
| Manchester City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 19 |
Newcastle Unit…
10.0%
| Sep 16 | Newcast… v Brentfo… | 1-0 |
| Aug 27 | Newcast… v Liverpo… | 1-2 |
| Aug 19 | Newcast… v Manches… | 1-0 |
| Aug 12 | Newcast… v Aston V… | 5-1 |
| Jul 27 | Newcast… v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Jul 23 | Newcast… v Aston V… | 3-3 |
| May 28 | Newcast… v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| May 13 | Newcast… v Leeds | 2-2 |
| Apr 27 | Newcast… v Everton | 1-4 |
| Apr 23 | Newcast… v Tottenh… | 6-1 |
Manchester City
12.0%
| Sep 23 | Manches… v Notting… | 2-0 |
| Sep 23 | Manches… v Crewe | 2-1 |
| Sep 16 | Manches… v West Br… | 1-3 |
| Sep 02 | Manches… v Walsall | 1-0 |
| Sep 02 | Manches… v Fulham | 5-1 |
| Aug 26 | Manches… v Birming… | 0-3 |
| Aug 19 | Manches… v Newcast… | 1-0 |
| Aug 19 | Manches… v Milton … | 2-3 |
| Jul 28 | Manches… v West Ha… | 0-1 |
| Jun 03 | Manches… v Manches… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 19, 2023 | Manchester Ci… | 1-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Manchester Ci… | 2-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Newcastle Uni… | 3-3 | Manchester Ci… |
| May 08, 2022 | Manchester Ci… | 5-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Newcastle Uni… | 0-4 | Manchester Ci… |
Key Factors
Manchester City in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.