AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Mar 12, 2023

Athletic Club

Home
VS
20:00

FC Barcelona

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Athletic Club Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
FC Barcelona Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 0.30 - 1.32
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (26%) 0-0 (20%) 0-2 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 0-3 (8%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Athletic Club Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Athletic … vs Osasuna 1-0
Feb 19 Athletic … vs Atlético … 1-0
Feb 11 Athletic … vs Valencia 1-2
Jan 29 Athletic … vs Celta de … 1-0
Jan 26 Athletic … vs Valencia 1-3
Jan 22 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 0-2
Jan 14 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 3-1
Jan 09 Athletic … vs Osasuna 0-0
Oct 23 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 4-0
Oct 15 Athletic … vs Atlético … 0-1
FC Barcelona Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 FC Barcel… vs Real Betis 1-2
Jan 25 FC Barcel… vs Real Soci… 1-0
Jan 12 FC Barcel… vs Real Betis 2-2
Jan 08 FC Barcel… vs Atlético … 0-1
Nov 08 FC Barcel… vs Osasuna 1-2
Oct 23 FC Barcel… vs Athletic … 4-0
Sep 17 FC Barcel… vs Elche 3-0
Aug 21 FC Barcel… vs Real Soci… 1-4
Aug 20 FC Barcel… vs Orense SC 1-2
Aug 14 FC Barcel… vs Universid… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Athletic Club struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2022 FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Feb 27, 2022 FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Jan 20, 2022 Athletic Club 3 - 2 FC Barcelona Copa del Rey
Final Verdict

ELITE: Athletic Club to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 88
  • Power: 30 vs 0
Athletic Club Power 30
FC Barcelona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.